Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 27/10, 00:00

Prediction: Zane Stevens vs Matthew Shearer

Team pages: Zane Stevens · Matthew Shearer

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Zane Stevens Matthew Shearer
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Zane Stevens 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWW
Matthew Shearer 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zane Stevens 1530 · Matthew Shearer 1457
Zane StevensMatthew Shearer
Our model60%40%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zane Stevens (rating 1530 vs 1457).

Statistics

Zane StevensMatthew Shearer
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10.6-9.19.9-10.2
Aces3.75.2
Double faults2.62.3
1st serve %73.7%72.5%
Break %38.8%30.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zane Stevens

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/10 Blake Ellis
M25 Tamworth
1-2 12-18 L
21/10 Eric Tripathi
M25 Tamworth
2-0 12-1 W
10/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
0-2 6-13 L
09/10 Jake Delaney
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-10 W
08/10 Derek Pham
M25 Darwin
2-1 18-14 W
07/10 Shintaro Imai
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Petar Jovic
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-2 W
30/09 Shintaro Imai
M25 Darwin
0-2 6-12 L
22/08 Scott Jones
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/08 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Matthew Shearer

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Eric Tripathi
M25 Tamworth
1-2 10-13 L
15/10 Sergey Fomin
M25 Qian Daohu
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Weiyi Kong
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-7 W
12/10 Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng
M25 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-4 W
29/09 Yua Taka
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
22/09 Shanghui Li
M25 Yinchuan
1-2 10-10 L
16/09 Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang
1-2 16-19 L
15/09 Yaoyu Yang
M25 Guiyang
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Jack Bruce-Smith
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
07/09 Kareem Abdul Hakim
M15 Bali
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zane Stevens vs Matthew Shearer?

Our model gives 74% to Zane Stevens, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.