Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 27/10, 17:00

Prediction: Stefan Cooper vs Lucca Liu

Team pages: Stefan Cooper · Lucca Liu

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Stefan Cooper Lucca Liu
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Cooper 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Lucca Liu 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stefan Cooper 1429 · Lucca Liu 1500
Stefan CooperLucca Liu
Our model40%60%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucca Liu (rating 1429 vs 1500).
  • Lucca Liu is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Stefan Cooper makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Stefan CooperLucca Liu
Win %20%50%
Win % · Hard 22% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61.1-1
Games (G-P)8.8-11.99.7-8.7
Aces6.22.6
Double faults53.8
1st serve %69.3%68.6%
Break %25.5%59%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stefan Cooper

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 9-15 L
22/07 Wilhelm Saiga
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/07 Karl Kazuma Lee
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Vit Kalina
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
26/06 Charlie Underwood
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Andy Nguyen
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
24/06 Brock Anderson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
10/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
04/06 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Cagan Efe Tufekci
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W

Lucca Liu

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
06/10 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/09 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/09 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-8 L
16/09 Mathieu Scaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
15/09 Tim Loosen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/09 Oscar Brown
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
10/09 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/09 Mahmoud Chetouane
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
0-2 6-9 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stefan Cooper vs Lucca Liu?

Our model gives 71% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.