Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 26/10, 15:00
Prediction: Carolina Alves vs Julia Grabher
Team pages: Carolina Alves · Julia Grabher
Prediction summary
Winner
Carolina Alves
Julia Grabher
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Carolina Alves
6-4 (W-L)
Julia Grabher
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Carolina Alves
1–0
Julia Grabher
(1 last)
- 02 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carolina Alves 1494 · Julia Grabher 1562
| Carolina Alves | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Grabher (rating 1494 vs 1562).
- Head-to-head: Carolina Alves 1–0 Julia Grabher (1).
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Carolina Alves | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.9 | 12.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Carolina Alves 1 – 0 Julia Grabher (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carolina Alves 1–0 Julia Grabher
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/18 ITF Women Bad Saulgau | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carolina Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/10 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Gala Ivanovic W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniella Dimitrova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Luisina Giovannini W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Antonia Rivera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Lan Mi W35 Barueri |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Julia Grabher
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Lidia Encheva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Dalma Galfi WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carolina Alves vs Julia Grabher?
Our model gives 69% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.