Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 26/10, 15:00
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi
Team pages: Maria Lourdes Carle · Laura Pigossi
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Laura Pigossi
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
2-8 (W-L)
Laura Pigossi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Lourdes Carle
1–3
Laura Pigossi
(4 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 12-3W
- 03 Dec0-2 5-12L
- 22 Oct0-2 4-12L
- 21 Feb0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1498 · Laura Pigossi 1464
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Lourdes Carle 1–3 Laura Pigossi (4).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Laura Pigossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-12.7 | 10.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 7.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Maria Lourdes Carle 1 – 3 Laura Pigossi (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Lourdes Carle 1–3 Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 WTA Contrexeville | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/12/23 WTA Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/10/21 ITF W25 Rio do Sul | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/02/18 ITF Women Curitiba | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Gina Feistel WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 04/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Laura Pigossi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lola Giza W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Despina Papamichail US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Berfu Cengiz W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Caroline Werner W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Polona Hercog W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Laura Pigossi?
Our model gives 55% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.