Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 26/10, 15:00
Prediction: Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Solana Sierra
Team pages: Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele · Solana Sierra
Prediction summary
Winner
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Solana Sierra
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
8-2 (W-L)
Solana Sierra
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1573 · Solana Sierra 1420
| Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | Solana Sierra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele (rating 1573 vs 1420).
- Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (8/match).
Statistics
| Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele | Solana Sierra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.2 | 9.6-13.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 8 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Campina Grande |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Maria Florencia Urrutia W15 Campina Grande |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Paola Lopez W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/10 | Leticia Garcia Vidal W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Cipolletti |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 10/10 | Fernanda Rain W15 Cipolletti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Caira Delfina Vega Gudino W15 Cipolletti |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/10 | Florencia Belen Moron W15 Cipolletti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Pergamino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Solana Sierra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Deniz Dilek WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Suzan Lamens WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Cadence Brace WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Elina Svitolina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Bondar Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele vs Solana Sierra?
Our model gives 58% to Solana Sierra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.