Tennis · WTA Curitiba · 26/10, 15:00
Prediction: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Luisina Giovannini · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Luisina Giovannini
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luisina Giovannini
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luisina Giovannini 1533 · Lucia Bronzetti 1486
| Luisina Giovannini | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luisina Giovannini (rating 1533 vs 1486).
Statistics
| Luisina Giovannini | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.6 | 10.5-11 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luisina Giovannini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lucie Petruzelova W50 Stara Zagora |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Beatris Spasova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Bianca E Barbulescu W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Carolina Alves W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mona Barthel WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 51% to Luisina Giovannini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.