Tennis · W35 Sydney · 29/10, 00:00
Prediction: Hikaru Sato vs Merel Hoedt
Team pages: Hikaru Sato · Merel Hoedt
Prediction summary
Winner
Hikaru Sato
Merel Hoedt
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hikaru Sato
7-3 (W-L)
Merel Hoedt
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hikaru Sato 1617 · Merel Hoedt 1524
| Hikaru Sato | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Sato (rating 1617 vs 1524).
- Note: Merel Hoedt makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Hikaru Sato | Merel Hoedt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.6 | 9.9-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hikaru Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/10 | Naiktha Bains W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Nanari Katsumi W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Shrivalli Rashmikaa Bhamidipaty W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nana Onozawa W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Riko Kikawada W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Amy Stevens W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Merel Hoedt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Maria Andrienko W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Iva Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Margaux Maquet W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Barbora Michalkova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Ashley Lahey W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Vivian Wolff W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Anika Jaskova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hikaru Sato vs Merel Hoedt?
Our model gives 75% to Hikaru Sato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.