Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 27/10, 10:00
Prediction: Flynn Thomas vs Andrea Colombo
Team pages: Flynn Thomas · Andrea Colombo
Prediction summary
Winner
Flynn Thomas
Andrea Colombo
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Flynn Thomas
5-5 (W-L)
Andrea Colombo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flynn Thomas 1578 · Andrea Colombo 1462
| Flynn Thomas | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flynn Thomas (rating 1578 vs 1462).
- Flynn Thomas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Flynn Thomas | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 11.4-13.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Filip Krolo M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Phil Dungs M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Stefan Seifert M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Damien Clerc M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Hernan Casanova M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 25/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Jaden Weekes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Charles Chen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 10/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flynn Thomas vs Andrea Colombo?
Our model gives 59% to Flynn Thomas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.