Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 27/10, 10:00
Prediction: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Wojciech Marek
Team pages: Denis Constantin Spiridon · Wojciech Marek
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Constantin Spiridon
Wojciech Marek
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Constantin Spiridon
5-5 (W-L)
Wojciech Marek
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Constantin Spiridon 1462 · Wojciech Marek 1516
| Denis Constantin Spiridon | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wojciech Marek (rating 1462 vs 1516).
Statistics
| Denis Constantin Spiridon | Wojciech Marek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11 | 12.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 47% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Constantin Spiridon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Jacopo Antonelli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Wojciech Marek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Stefan Seifert M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Melvin Kumar M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Falun |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Iiro Vasa M25 Falun |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Falun |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Karol Filar M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Wojciech Marek?
Our model gives 66% to Wojciech Marek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.