Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 24/10, 17:30
Prediction: Niksa Arsic vs Felipe Pagnacco
Team pages: Niksa Arsic · Felipe Pagnacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Niksa Arsic
Felipe Pagnacco
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Niksa Arsic
7-3 (W-L)
Felipe Pagnacco
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niksa Arsic 1560 · Felipe Pagnacco 1547
| Niksa Arsic | Felipe Pagnacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Niksa Arsic | Felipe Pagnacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.6 | 11.1-7.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niksa Arsic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Brett Gloria UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | August Brostroem Poulsen UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Thomas Van Den Dooren UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | William McEwan UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Nicolas Ifi UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Felipe Pagnacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Alfred Almasi UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Miguel Angel Machado UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Abraham Rosett UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 02/08 | Juan Bautista Otegui UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikos Lehmann UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niksa Arsic vs Felipe Pagnacco?
Our model gives 66% to Niksa Arsic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.