Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 21/10, 22:30
Prediction: Niksa Arsic vs August Brostroem Poulsen
Team pages: Niksa Arsic · August Brostroem Poulsen
Prediction summary
Winner
Niksa Arsic
August Brostroem Poulsen
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Niksa Arsic
6-4 (W-L)
August Brostroem Poulsen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niksa Arsic 1562 · August Brostroem Poulsen 1480
| Niksa Arsic | August Brostroem Poulsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niksa Arsic (rating 1562 vs 1480).
- Niksa Arsic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Niksa Arsic | August Brostroem Poulsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 10.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 77.2% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 29.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niksa Arsic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Thomas Van Den Dooren UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | William McEwan UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Nicolas Ifi UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Matthew Upton UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ognjen Milic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
August Brostroem Poulsen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | William McEwan UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Samuel Agbesi Osei Antwi UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | William McEwan UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Agustin Salazar UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Timeo Bretin UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Mason Landreth UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Brendan Boland UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niksa Arsic vs August Brostroem Poulsen?
Our model gives 76% to Niksa Arsic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.