Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 23/10, 23:00

Prediction: Felipe Pagnacco vs Alfred Almasi

Team pages: Felipe Pagnacco · Alfred Almasi

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Felipe Pagnacco Alfred Almasi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Pagnacco 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWW
Alfred Almasi 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felipe Pagnacco 1542 · Alfred Almasi 1558
Felipe PagnaccoAlfred Almasi
Our model48%52%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Felipe PagnaccoAlfred Almasi
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 100% (3) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.5-7.512.3-10
Aces24.9
Double faults2.82
1st serve %65.3%73.7%
Break %51.8%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felipe Pagnacco

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Miguel Angel Machado
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/10 Felix Bockelmann Evans
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
20/10 Abraham Rosett
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Mar Del Plata
1-2 12-11 L
02/08 Juan Bautista Otegui
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
01/08 Santiago Franchini
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
31/07 Fantino Alberca De Las Casas
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Nikos Lehmann
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
27/07 Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Alfred Almasi

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Felix Bockelmann Evans
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
21/10 Abraham Rosett
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Miguel Angel Machado
UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/08 Henry Ren
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/08 Stewart Aronson
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
28/08 Alexander Kotarski
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/08 Filip Soderqvist
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
26/08 Andre Alcantara
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/08 Eyad Reda Ezzat Mohamed Sherif
UTR Pro Boise · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
22/08 Fredrik Krogh Solheim
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felipe Pagnacco vs Alfred Almasi?

Our model gives 57% to Felipe Pagnacco, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.