Tennis · UTR Pro Lubbock · 22/10, 22:30
Prediction: Felipe Pagnacco vs Miguel Angel Machado
Team pages: Felipe Pagnacco · Miguel Angel Machado
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Pagnacco
Miguel Angel Machado
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Pagnacco
6-4 (W-L)
Miguel Angel Machado
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Pagnacco 1508 · Miguel Angel Machado 1583
| Felipe Pagnacco | Miguel Angel Machado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Miguel Angel Machado (rating 1508 vs 1583).
- Miguel Angel Machado is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Felipe Pagnacco | Miguel Angel Machado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.3 | 10.1-7.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Pagnacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Abraham Rosett UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 02/08 | Juan Bautista Otegui UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikos Lehmann UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Juan Estevez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Miguel Angel Machado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Felix Bockelmann Evans UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Alfred Almasi UTR Pro Lubbock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matyas Fuele M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 9-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Amaan Siddiqui M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Nathan Walters M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Reda El Aouni M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Javier Molino M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Keoni Puig Mccallan UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Pagnacco vs Miguel Angel Machado?
Our model gives 55% to Miguel Angel Machado, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.