Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 23/10, 18:30
Prediction: Vignesh Gogineni vs Rafael Ymer
Team pages: Vignesh Gogineni · Rafael Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Vignesh Gogineni
Rafael Ymer
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vignesh Gogineni
6-4 (W-L)
Rafael Ymer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vignesh Gogineni 1551 · Rafael Ymer 1562
| Vignesh Gogineni | Rafael Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vignesh Gogineni | Rafael Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.3 | 11.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vignesh Gogineni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Zsombor Velcz M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Max Dahlin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Edwardsville |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Justin Roberts M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Rafael Ymer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Jan Klimas M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Connor Plunkett M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Joshua Peck M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriel Maciel Araujo Pyndt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Rojas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Vesa Ahti M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vignesh Gogineni vs Rafael Ymer?
Our model gives 70% to Vignesh Gogineni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.