Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 22/10, 19:00

Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Felix Roussel

Team pages: Alec Deckers · Felix Roussel

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Alec Deckers Felix Roussel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWLW
Felix Roussel 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1604 · Felix Roussel 1499
Alec DeckersFelix Roussel
Our model65%35%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1604 vs 1499).
  • Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 11.3 aces and 44% break avg.
  • Alec Deckers is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Alec DeckersFelix Roussel
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.81.1-1.1
Games (G-P)14.2-1110.2-10
Aces11.31.4
Double faults3.83.9
1st serve %78.6%61.8%
Break %44%64.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alec Deckers

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Joshua Adamson
M15 Ithaca
2-0 12-7 W
27/09 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal
2-1 17-14 W
26/09 Philip Henning
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-8 W
25/09 Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal
2-1 18-12 W
24/09 Jake Fellows
M25 Setubal
2-0 12-8 W
22/09 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Setubal
2-1 18-14 W
18/09 Tiago Cacao
M25 Sintra
1-2 11-18 L
17/09 Benjamin Pietri
M25 Sintra
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Sintra
2-1 15-9 W
06/09 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
Challenger Cassis · Hard
1-2 15-15 L

Felix Roussel

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Jaden Weekes
M15 Ithaca
2-1 16-13 W
16/10 Robin Bertrand
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/10 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/10 Pablo Aunion
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 John Echeverria
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/10 Samuel De Felipe Garcia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/07 Keshav Chopra
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
18/06 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/06 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Felix Roussel?

Our model gives 73% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.