Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 22/10, 19:00
Prediction: Rafael Ymer vs Jan Klimas
Team pages: Rafael Ymer · Jan Klimas
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Ymer
Jan Klimas
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Ymer
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Klimas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Ymer 1557 · Jan Klimas 1471
| Rafael Ymer | Jan Klimas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rafael Ymer (rating 1557 vs 1471).
- Jan Klimas dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Rafael Ymer is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jan Klimas makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Ymer | Jan Klimas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Carpet | – | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.6 | 9.7-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 56% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Connor Plunkett M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Joshua Peck M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Henri Haupt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriel Maciel Araujo Pyndt M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carles Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Carles Rojas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey Hsu M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Vesa Ahti M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Jan Klimas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Eric Crivei M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lieberman M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | David Bakonyi M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Daniel Blazka M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Adam Jurajda UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Matyas Kozlovsky UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Ymer vs Jan Klimas?
Our model gives 59% to Rafael Ymer, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.