Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Oliver Ojakaar
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Oliver Ojakaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Oliver Ojakaar
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Oliver Ojakaar
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1616 · Oliver Ojakaar 1551
| Alec Deckers | Oliver Ojakaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1616 vs 1551).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 43.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Oliver Ojakaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-10 | 11.4-9 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Joshua Adamson M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Oliver Ojakaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Noa Vukadin M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Benjamin Thomas George M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Nathan Gold M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vito Tonejc M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Evan Bynoe M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Marko Miladinovic M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Antreas Djakouris M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Oliver Ojakaar?
Our model gives 57% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.