Tennis · Challenger Cali · 23/10, 18:30
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
7-3 (W-L)
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
0–1
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
(1 last)
- 06 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1536 · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1545
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.7 | 13.5-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 72% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 0 – 1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 Challenger Villa Maria | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 60% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.