Tennis · Challenger Cali · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Gustavo Heide vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Team pages: Gustavo Heide · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Heide
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Heide
8-2 (W-L)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gustavo Heide
2–1
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
(3 last)
- 02 Nov2-0 12-5W
- 17 Jan1-2 15-18L
- 18 May2-1 14-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Heide 1594 · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1542
| Gustavo Heide | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gustavo Heide (rating 1594 vs 1542).
- Gustavo Heide dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Gustavo Heide 2–1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (3).
- Note: Gustavo Heide makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Heide | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.9 | 11.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.4% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Gustavo Heide 2 – 1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gustavo Heide 2–1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/25 ITF M25 Lajeado | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/01/24 Challenger Buenos Aires | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/05/21 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 14-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Heide
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 04/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Stan Wawrinka Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 19/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Ciancaglini Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Heide vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Our model gives 72% to Gustavo Heide, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.