Tennis · Challenger Cali · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
1–0
Carlos Maria Zarate
(1 last)
- 29 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1564 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1520
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1564 vs 1520).
- Head-to-head: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.3 | 10.4-9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1 – 0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 Challenger Curitiba | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 67% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.