Tennis · ATP Lyon · 23/10, 15:30

Prediction: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz

Team pages: Daniel Altmaier · Taylor Fritz

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Daniel Altmaier Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Altmaier 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Taylor Fritz 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWW
Head-to-head
Daniel Altmaier 1–0 Taylor Fritz (1 last)
  • 26 May3-1 22-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Altmaier 1487 · Taylor Fritz 1526
Daniel AltmaierTaylor Fritz
Our model44%56%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Daniel Altmaier 1–0 Taylor Fritz (1).

Statistics

Daniel AltmaierTaylor Fritz
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.8-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-13.616-13.3
Aces7.511.7
Double faults3.21.8
1st serve %73%77.2%
Break %37.9%32.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.90 Under 22.5: 36% · 1.80

H2H · Daniel Altmaier 1 – 0 Taylor Fritz (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Altmaier 1–0 Taylor Fritz

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DateSetsGamesRes.
26/05/25
French Open
3-122-15W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Altmaier

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Titouan Droguet
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 19-19 W
09/10 Ben Shelton
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
07/10 Holger Rune
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
28/09 Jie Cui
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/09 Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup
0-2 7-12 L
02/09 Zachary Svajda
US Open · Hard
1-3 13-24 L
26/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Francisco Comesana
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Taylor Fritz

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
12/10 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
10/10 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
26/09 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Laver Cup · Hard
1-2 20-23 L
05/09 Francisco Cerundolo
US Open · Hard
2-3 23-25 L
03/09 Mattia Bellucci
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-2 W
01/09 Darwin Blanch
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-9 W
21/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
20/08 Christopher O'Connell
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz?

Our model gives 68% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.