Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 23/10, 04:00

Prediction: Mikalai Haliak vs Kuan-Shou Chen

Team pages: Mikalai Haliak · Kuan-Shou Chen

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Mikalai Haliak Kuan-Shou Chen
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mikalai Haliak 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWLWW
Kuan-Shou Chen 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mikalai Haliak 1500 · Kuan-Shou Chen 1565
Mikalai HaliakKuan-Shou Chen
Our model41%59%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kuan-Shou Chen (rating 1500 vs 1565).
  • Kuan-Shou Chen is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Mikalai HaliakKuan-Shou Chen
Win %40%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)9.1-8.312.3-9.5
Aces2.60.4
Double faults0.91.9
1st serve %68%64.4%
Break %57.1%53.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mikalai Haliak

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 You Du
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/10 Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/09 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/09 Jesse Delaney
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
13/08 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Tianjin
1-2 7-9 L
11/08 Liangxuan Liu
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Tianjin
0-2 3-8 L
09/06 Pedro Sakamoto
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 15-18 L
14/04 Bekkhan Atlangeriev
M25 Anning · ~Hard
0-1 7-9 L
08/04 Akira Santillan
M25 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 6-10 L

Kuan-Shou Chen

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 9-2 W
20/10 Minghui Zhang
M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 7-12 L
26/09 Alexandr Binda
M25 Yinchuan
2-1 18-14 W
25/09 Filip Peliwo
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Shaoyun Liu
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-8 W
23/09 Dominik Palan
M25 Yinchuan
2-0 12-6 W
30/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 16-14 W
29/08 Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mikalai Haliak vs Kuan-Shou Chen?

Our model gives 61% to Kuan-Shou Chen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.