Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 21/10, 03:00
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Kristjan Tamm
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Kristjan Tamm
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Kristjan Tamm
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
5-5 (W-L)
Kristjan Tamm
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1506 · Kristjan Tamm 1544
| Timofei Derepasko | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 43.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.6 | 12.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 28.7% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefan Storch Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kristjan Tamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Xing Dao Chen M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Yue Xia M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Kristjan Tamm?
Our model gives 50% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.