Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 23/10, 04:00
Prediction: Linang Xiao vs Boris Butulija
Team pages: Linang Xiao · Boris Butulija
Prediction summary
Winner
Linang Xiao
Boris Butulija
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Linang Xiao
6-4 (W-L)
Boris Butulija
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linang Xiao 1484 · Boris Butulija 1514
| Linang Xiao | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Boris Butulija makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Linang Xiao | Boris Butulija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.2 | 8.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Weiyi Kong M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Boris Butulija
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Yue Xia M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-0 | 8-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 02/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 05/08 | Walid Ahouda M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linang Xiao vs Boris Butulija?
Our model gives 64% to Linang Xiao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.