Tennis · M15 Shenzhen · 22/10, 04:00
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Linang Xiao
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Linang Xiao
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1519 · Linang Xiao 1454
| Timofei Derepasko | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timofei Derepasko (rating 1519 vs 1454).
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.5 | 12.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 31.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefan Storch Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Weiyi Kong M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Colin Sinclair M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Xiuyuan Ye M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Linang Xiao?
Our model gives 54% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.