Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 23/10, 03:00
Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Naoki Nakagawa
Team pages: Matthew Dellavedova · Naoki Nakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Dellavedova
Naoki Nakagawa
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Dellavedova
8-2 (W-L)
Naoki Nakagawa
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1600 · Naoki Nakagawa 1596
| Matthew Dellavedova | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Naoki Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-6 | 12.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 80.6% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Martin Borisiouk M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaigaoge Kang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Mert Alkaya M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhao Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Naoki Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Yua Taka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Naoki Nakagawa?
Our model gives 58% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.