Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 23/10, 13:00
Prediction: Blake Ellis vs Zane Stevens
Team pages: Blake Ellis · Zane Stevens
Prediction summary
Winner
Blake Ellis
Zane Stevens
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Blake Ellis
6-4 (W-L)
Zane Stevens
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blake Ellis 1519 · Zane Stevens 1539
| Blake Ellis | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Blake Ellis | Zane Stevens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.5 | 10.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blake Ellis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Purcell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Benjamin O'Connell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Hayden Jones M15 Bali |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Reece Falck M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Zane Stevens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Eric Tripathi M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Petar Jovic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blake Ellis vs Zane Stevens?
Our model gives 55% to Blake Ellis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.