Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 23/10, 01:00
Prediction: Stefan Vujic vs Derek Pham
Team pages: Stefan Vujic · Derek Pham
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Vujic
Derek Pham
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Vujic
6-4 (W-L)
Derek Pham
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Vujic 1544 · Derek Pham 1540
| Stefan Vujic | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Derek Pham dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 42.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Stefan Vujic | Derek Pham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.3 | 12.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 12.3 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 23.6% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Vujic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Scott Jones M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 11/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 10/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Chen Dong M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Nikolas Baker M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Vujic vs Derek Pham?
Our model gives 59% to Derek Pham, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.