Tennis · M15 Maceio · 22/10, 16:30
Prediction: Giovanni Branchetti vs Dante Pagani
Team pages: Giovanni Branchetti · Dante Pagani
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Branchetti
Dante Pagani
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Branchetti
7-3 (W-L)
Dante Pagani
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Branchetti 1541 · Dante Pagani 1416
| Giovanni Branchetti | Dante Pagani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giovanni Branchetti (rating 1541 vs 1416).
- Giovanni Branchetti is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Giovanni Branchetti | Dante Pagani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 9.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Branchetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tomas Martinez M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/10 | Valentino Conte UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Tomas Giangrasso UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Santiago Franchini UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Facundo Pereyra UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Dante Pagani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Lucio Ratti M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Valentin Garay M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Rocco Valente M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 17/02 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Rosario · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/01 | Valentin Basel M25 Santiago |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Branchetti vs Dante Pagani?
Our model gives 59% to Giovanni Branchetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.