Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 22/10, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolas Arseneault vs Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
Team pages: Nicolas Arseneault · Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Arseneault
Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Arseneault
4-6 (W-L)
Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Arseneault 1464 · Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar 1571
| Nicolas Arseneault | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar (rating 1464 vs 1571).
- Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Arseneault | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 11.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/10 | Ethan Muza M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 14/10 | Duje Markovina M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Jack Anthrop M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Micah Braswell M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Eric David Verdes UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Brian Windsor UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Naresh Bharathy UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | David Cristian Carteputreda UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Astana |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Arseneault vs Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar?
Our model gives 52% to Nicolas Arseneault, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.