Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Alessandra Mazzola
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Alessandra Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Alessandra Mazzola
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandra Mazzola
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matilde Paoletti
1–1
Alessandra Mazzola
(2 last)
- 09 Oct1-2 16-14L
- 12 Oct2-1 17-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1537 · Alessandra Mazzola 1551
| Matilde Paoletti | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.4% | 52.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 66.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Matilde Paoletti 1 – 1 Alessandra Mazzola (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matilde Paoletti 1–1 Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/26 W35 Santa Margherita | 1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 12/10/24 W35 Santa Margherita | 2-1 | 17-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Eva Bennemann W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Daria Yesypchuk W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/09 | Maria Toma W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alessandra Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Angelica Raggi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Laima Vladson W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Beatrise Zeltina W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Dunja Maric W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Alessandra Mazzola?
Our model gives 52% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.