Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 22/10, 10:30
Prediction: Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Team pages: Ewen Lumsden · Luka Talan Lopatic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ewen Lumsden
Luka Talan Lopatic
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ewen Lumsden
6-4 (W-L)
Luka Talan Lopatic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ewen Lumsden 1562 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1545
| Ewen Lumsden | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ewen Lumsden | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.7 | 10.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Miles Jones M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Louis Tessa M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Toby Martin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Ammar Elamin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Burgas |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 51% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.