Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 22/10, 13:30

Prediction: Nastasja Schunk vs Francisca Jorge

Team pages: Nastasja Schunk · Francisca Jorge

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Nastasja Schunk Francisca Jorge
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nastasja Schunk 7-3 (W-L)
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Francisca Jorge 5-5 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nastasja Schunk 1541 · Francisca Jorge 1540
Nastasja SchunkFrancisca Jorge
Our model50%50%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nastasja SchunkFrancisca Jorge
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61.4-1
Games (G-P)10.2-8.811.8-9.7
Aces1.61.4
Double faults1.83.2
1st serve %62.2%64.2%
Break %41%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nastasja Schunk

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Valentina Steiner
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 13-10 W
08/10 Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 6-12 L
06/10 Marie Weckerle
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/09 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Dalila Jakupovic
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
08/09 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
07/09 Tena Lukas
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Ceylin Oz
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
30/08 Francesca Pace
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-9 W

Francisca Jorge

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Amandine Hesse
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Francesca Jones
WTA Lisbon · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
13/10 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Lisbon · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
02/10 Eva Vedder
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
01/10 Kylie Collins
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/09 Teresa Franco Dias
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
22/09 Mia Pohankova
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
18/09 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
17/09 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
15/09 Xinyu Gao
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nastasja Schunk vs Francisca Jorge?

Our model gives 52% to Francisca Jorge, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.