Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 23/10, 15:30
Prediction: Jessika Ponchet vs Manon Leonard
Team pages: Jessika Ponchet · Manon Leonard
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessika Ponchet
Manon Leonard
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jessika Ponchet
8-2 (W-L)
Manon Leonard
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jessika Ponchet
1–1
Manon Leonard
(2 last)
- 16 Oct1-2 15-18L
- 07 Feb2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessika Ponchet 1543 · Manon Leonard 1571
| Jessika Ponchet | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jessika Ponchet dominates on serve: 9.4 aces and 42.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Jessika Ponchet | Manon Leonard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 10.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Jessika Ponchet 1 – 1 Manon Leonard (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jessika Ponchet 1–1 Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 W35 Birmingham | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/02/23 ITF W60 Grenoble | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessika Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Mayuka Aikawa W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Hollie Smart W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Priscilla Hon French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Manon Leonard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Sada Nahimana W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Salma Djoubri W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Jessika Ponchet W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessika Ponchet vs Manon Leonard?
Our model gives 55% to Jessika Ponchet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.