Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 23/10, 12:30
Prediction: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Francisca Jorge
Team pages: Mariam Bolkvadze · Francisca Jorge
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariam Bolkvadze
Francisca Jorge
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mariam Bolkvadze
4-6 (W-L)
Francisca Jorge
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mariam Bolkvadze
1–2
Francisca Jorge
(3 last)
- 10 Jun0-2 7-12L
- 15 Jun0-2 1-12L
- 01 Jul2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariam Bolkvadze 1539 · Francisca Jorge 1529
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mariam Bolkvadze 1–2 Francisca Jorge (3).
- Note: Mariam Bolkvadze makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Mariam Bolkvadze | Francisca Jorge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.3 | 12.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Mariam Bolkvadze 1 – 2 Francisca Jorge (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mariam Bolkvadze 1–2 Francisca Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/26 W50 Guimaraes | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06/24 ITF W75 Guimaraes | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/07/22 ITF W25 Porto | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariam Bolkvadze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Alya Naz Altinel WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/08 | Anouk Koevermans US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alevtina Ibragimova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Erika Andreeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Kallista Liu W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Francisca Jorge
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Amandine Hesse W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Francesca Jones WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Kylie Collins W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Teresa Franco Dias W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariam Bolkvadze vs Francisca Jorge?
Our model gives 51% to Mariam Bolkvadze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.