Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessika Ponchet
Team pages: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · Jessika Ponchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Jessika Ponchet
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
4-6 (W-L)
Jessika Ponchet
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
1–0
Jessika Ponchet
(1 last)
- 20 Jul2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1476 · Jessika Ponchet 1537
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jessika Ponchet (rating 1476 vs 1537).
- Jessika Ponchet dominates on serve: 9.9 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1–0 Jessika Ponchet (1).
- Note: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | Jessika Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.8 | 11.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 9.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1 – 0 Jessika Ponchet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 1–0 Jessika Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/24 ITF W100 Vitoria-Gasteiz | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Oceane Babel W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Francisca Jorge WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Katherine Sebov WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jessika Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Manon Leonard W35 Birmingham |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Mayuka Aikawa W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Hollie Smart W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Priscilla Hon French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Maja Chwalinska W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessika Ponchet?
Our model gives 56% to Jessika Ponchet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.