Tennis · W50 Cherbourg · 22/10, 12:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Sada Nahimana
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Sada Nahimana
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Sada Nahimana
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
7-3 (W-L)
Sada Nahimana
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Manon Leonard
1–1
Sada Nahimana
(2 last)
- 13 May1-2 10-18L
- 18 Aug2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1568 · Sada Nahimana 1544
| Manon Leonard | Sada Nahimana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Sada Nahimana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 10.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 62% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Manon Leonard 1 – 1 Sada Nahimana (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manon Leonard 1–1 Sada Nahimana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 W75 Zagreb | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08/25 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Salma Djoubri W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Jessika Ponchet W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Liv Boulard W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Sada Nahimana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Matilde Jorge W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Andre Lukosiute W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 03/10 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Reims |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Diana Martynov W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Alina Nesmianovych W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Hajar Crinebouch W35 Reims |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Francesca Pace W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Panna Udvardy WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Sada Nahimana?
Our model gives 60% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.