Tennis · M15 Monastir · 22/10, 10:00

Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Carles Hernandez

Team pages: Robin Bertrand · Carles Hernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Robin Bertrand Carles Hernandez
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Carles Hernandez 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1571 · Carles Hernandez 1506
Robin BertrandCarles Hernandez
Our model59%41%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Bertrand (rating 1571 vs 1506).

Statistics

Robin BertrandCarles Hernandez
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 71% (7) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.1-9.410.4-10.5
Aces1.22.4
Double faults2.13.1
1st serve %60.9%66.4%
Break %62.7%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robin Bertrand

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
18/10 Luca Wiedenmann
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
17/10 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
16/10 Felix Roussel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/09 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Porto · Hard
1-2 10-18 L
27/09 Guilherme Valdoleiros
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
25/09 Philip Henning
M25 Setubal
0-2 10-13 L
24/09 Joao Domingues
M25 Setubal
2-0 14-10 W
22/09 Tiago Cacao
M25 Setubal
2-0 14-12 W

Carles Hernandez

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Anas Mazdrashki
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 12-13 W
15/10 Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/10 Kylian Collignon
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 16-16 W
06/10 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/10 Lars Goran Verwerft
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-14 L
01/10 Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/09 Tanapatt Nirundorn
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
24/09 Daniel Domingos
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
22/09 Caspar Schuetze
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/09 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Madrid
0-2 6-10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Carles Hernandez?

Our model gives 70% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.