Tennis · M15 Monastir · 28/10, 12:30
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Andrea Bacaloni
Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Andrea Bacaloni
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Andrea Bacaloni
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
7-3 (W-L)
Andrea Bacaloni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1566 · Andrea Bacaloni 1527
| Tuncay Duran | Andrea Bacaloni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Andrea Bacaloni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8 | 9.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 68% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 60.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 07/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Emilien Demanet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Pablo Aunion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Togan Tokac Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Leo Deflandre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 08/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Baku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Kothari M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Andrea Bacaloni?
Our model gives 72% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.