Tennis · M15 Monastir · 29/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Mahmoud Chetouane
Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Mahmoud Chetouane
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Mahmoud Chetouane
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
8-2 (W-L)
Mahmoud Chetouane
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1594 · Mahmoud Chetouane 1426
| Tuncay Duran | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuncay Duran (rating 1594 vs 1426).
- Tuncay Duran is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Mahmoud Chetouane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-7.3 | 7.1-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 07/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Emilien Demanet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Jack Loge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Pablo Aunion M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Togan Tokac Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mahmoud Chetouane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Max Geissinger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mathys Domenc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Etienne Donnet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Mahmoud Chetouane?
Our model gives 84% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.