Tennis · M15 Monastir · 29/10, 09:30
Prediction: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Sven Corbinais
Team pages: Niccolo Ciavarella · Sven Corbinais
Prediction summary
Winner
Niccolo Ciavarella
Sven Corbinais
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Niccolo Ciavarella
3-7 (W-L)
Sven Corbinais
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niccolo Ciavarella 1372 · Sven Corbinais 1525
| Niccolo Ciavarella | Sven Corbinais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sven Corbinais (rating 1372 vs 1525).
- Sven Corbinais is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sven Corbinais makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Niccolo Ciavarella | Sven Corbinais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-12.3 | 11.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 66.3% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niccolo Ciavarella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Fano |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sven Corbinais
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Jan Facek M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Claus Piening M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Kim Johannes Niethammer M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Tanapatt Nirundorn M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Etienne Donnet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Renaud Lefevre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niccolo Ciavarella vs Sven Corbinais?
Our model gives 62% to Sven Corbinais, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.