Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 22/10, 09:00
Prediction: Hugo Car vs Ioannis Xilas
Team pages: Hugo Car · Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Car
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Car
8-2 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Car 1514 · Ioannis Xilas 1587
| Hugo Car | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ioannis Xilas (rating 1514 vs 1587).
- Ioannis Xilas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ioannis Xilas makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Car | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11 | 13.1-10 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Car
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Adam Soukup M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Adrien Burdet M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Etienne Donnet M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Timeo Trufelli M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 06/09 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jip Van Assendelft M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Loge M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Car vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 63% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.