Tennis · ATP Almaty · 22/10, 08:00
Prediction: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
Team pages: Terence Atmane · Mattia Bellucci
Prediction summary
Winner
Terence Atmane
Mattia Bellucci
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Terence Atmane
8-2 (W-L)
Mattia Bellucci
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Terence Atmane
1–0
Mattia Bellucci
(1 last)
- 08 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Terence Atmane 1534 · Mattia Bellucci 1614
| Terence Atmane | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mattia Bellucci (rating 1534 vs 1614).
- Terence Atmane dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 53.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Terence Atmane 1–0 Mattia Bellucci (1).
Statistics
| Terence Atmane | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12.3 | 14.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 44% · 2.00
H2H · Terence Atmane 1 – 0 Mattia Bellucci (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Terence Atmane 1–0 Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/25 Australian Open | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Terence Atmane
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 18/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Mattia Bellucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 18/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Elias Ymer Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Yi Zhou ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Alexandre Muller ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Elias Ymer ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci?
Our model gives 60% to Mattia Bellucci, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.