Tennis · Challenger Cali · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero
5-5 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1521 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1541
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Diego Dedura-Palomero | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.3 | 9.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Frazier Rengifo Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Adria Soriano Barrera Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 53% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.