Tennis · W35 Sydney · 22/10, 02:30
Prediction: Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema
Team pages: Mio Mushika · Erika Sema
Prediction summary
Winner
Mio Mushika
Erika Sema
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mio Mushika
6-4 (W-L)
Erika Sema
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mio Mushika
0–1
Erika Sema
(1 last)
- 27 Jun0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mio Mushika 1549 · Erika Sema 1476
| Mio Mushika | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mio Mushika (rating 1549 vs 1476).
- Mio Mushika is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mio Mushika 0–1 Erika Sema (1).
- Note: Erika Sema makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mio Mushika | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 11.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 55% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Mio Mushika 0 – 1 Erika Sema (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mio Mushika 0–1 Erika Sema
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/23 ITF W25 Hong Kong | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mio Mushika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Yuhan Liu W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Remika Ohashi W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Naho Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Laquisa Khan W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Caitlin Abela W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Destanee Aiava W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Erika Sema
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Jizelle Sibai W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Eunhye Lee W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Sara Saito W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Teah Chavez W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Kelly Keller W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema?
Our model gives 63% to Mio Mushika.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.