Tennis · M25 Tamworth · 22/10, 03:30
Prediction: Li Tu vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Li Tu · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Li Tu
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Li Tu
5-5 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Li Tu
2–0
Casey Hoole
(2 last)
- 24 May2-0 12-6W
- 17 Mar1-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Li Tu 1478 · Casey Hoole 1647
| Li Tu | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1478 vs 1647).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Li Tu 2–0 Casey Hoole (2).
Statistics
| Li Tu | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 2-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.2 | 14.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 10.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Li Tu 2 – 0 Casey Hoole (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Li Tu 2–0 Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Adelaide | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Canberra | 1-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Li Tu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Brandon Walkin M25 Tamworth |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Austin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Kaylan Bigun M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Casey Hoole
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Nick Beamish M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Stefan Vujic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Li Tu vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 53% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.