Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Kyrian Jacquet
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet
7-3 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1566 · Brandon Nakashima 1534
| Kyrian Jacquet | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kyrian Jacquet | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.8 | 14.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 11.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 80.7% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kyrian Jacquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Tianhui Zhang ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Holger Rune ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Brandon Nakashima
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Ugo Humbert ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Jakub Mensik Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Sebastian Baez US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 56% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.