Tennis · M15 Ithaca · 21/10, 16:00

Prediction: Drew Van Orderlain vs Noa Vukadin

Team pages: Drew Van Orderlain · Noa Vukadin

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Drew Van Orderlain Noa Vukadin
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Drew Van Orderlain 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLLWWLLW
Noa Vukadin 3-7 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Drew Van Orderlain 1470 · Noa Vukadin 1494
Drew Van OrderlainNoa Vukadin
Our model47%53%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Drew Van OrderlainNoa Vukadin
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41-1.2
Games (G-P)10.6-12.18.7-9.4
Aces0.22
Double faults3.42.6
1st serve %59.7%66.8%
Break %43.7%28.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drew Van Orderlain

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Oren Vasser
M15 Ithaca
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Kenzo Koistila Larsson
M25 Falun
1-2 13-16 L
15/07 Ilija Palavestra
M15 Rochester
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Oscar Corwin
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
11/06 Nicolas Iantosca
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Nicholas Mekhael
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
09/06 Alexander Aney
UTR Pro Boston · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
14/05 Roberto Cid Subervi
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
13/05 Martin Maldonado
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
12/05 Luka Butera
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W

Noa Vukadin

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Preston Stearns
M15 Champaign
0-2 3-12 L
11/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/06 Bozo Barun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Jakub Vrba
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
31/05 Duje Ajdukovic
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
30/05 Tiago Pereira
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 12-10 W
29/05 Marko Maksimovic
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/05 Olle Wallin
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Piotr Galus
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Maks Kasnikowski
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drew Van Orderlain vs Noa Vukadin?

Our model gives 63% to Noa Vukadin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.