Tennis · Challenger Cali · 22/10, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista Torres
Team pages: Juan Manuel La Serna · Juan Bautista Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel La Serna
Juan Bautista Torres
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel La Serna
7-3 (W-L)
Juan Bautista Torres
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel La Serna
2–0
Juan Bautista Torres
(2 last)
- 15 May2-0 12-6W
- 12 Jan2-1 14-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel La Serna 1536 · Juan Bautista Torres 1449
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Juan Bautista Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel La Serna (rating 1536 vs 1449).
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel La Serna 2–0 Juan Bautista Torres (2).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Juan Bautista Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.4 | 10.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Juan Manuel La Serna 2 – 0 Juan Bautista Torres (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel La Serna 2–0 Juan Bautista Torres
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Challenger Cordoba | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/01/26 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel La Serna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Juan Bautista Torres
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Filippo Romano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista Torres?
Our model gives 62% to Juan Manuel La Serna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.