Tennis · M15 Maceio · 22/10, 15:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Rocco Valente

Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Rocco Valente

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez Rocco Valente
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Rocco Valente 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1475 · Rocco Valente 1566
Oscar Jose GutierrezRocco Valente
Our model37%63%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rocco Valente (rating 1475 vs 1566).
  • Rocco Valente is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezRocco Valente
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.5-0.7
Games (G-P)10.4-10.712.4-10.7
Aces1.91.4
Double faults3.93.2
1st serve %68.9%65.6%
Break %51.4%51.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Denis Klok
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-3 W
16/10 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/10 Valentin Basel
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Federico Gaston Gonzalez Benitez
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
04/10 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 9-16 L
29/09 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
22/09 Bernardo Munk Mesa
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
13/09 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/09 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M25 Gijon
1-2 16-18 L

Rocco Valente

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/10 Fermin Tenti
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-4 W
19/10 Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
M15 Maceio
2-0 13-9 W
10/10 Lorenzo Gagliardo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
09/10 Nereo Suarez
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
08/10 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
07/10 Pablo Mikito Mitoma
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
05/10 Fantino Alberca De Las Casas
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
11/09 Eduardo Lage
M15 Leme
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Nicolas Bruna
M15 Leme
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 Nicolas Villalon
M15 Trelew
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Rocco Valente?

Our model gives 60% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.